Research Article
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Year 2020, Volume: 4 Issue: 2, 452 - 482, 31.05.2020
https://doi.org/10.25295/fsecon.2020.02.010

Abstract

References

  • Abadie, A., Diamond, A. ve Heinmueller, J., (2010), Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California’s Tobacco Control Program, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490).
  • AFAD, (2016), Suriyeli Misafirlerimiz Kardeş Topraklarında: 2016, www.afad.gov.tr , Erişim Tarihi, 10.10.2019.
  • AFAD, (2019a), “Suriye Krizinde Öne Çıkan Başlıklar: 2011-2014”, https://www.afad.gov.tr/inforgrafikler, Erişim Tarihi, 11.12.2019
  • AFAD, (2019b), “Suriye Krizinde Öne Çıkan Başlıklar: 2011-2014”, https://www.afad.gov.tr/inforgrafikler, Erişim Tarihi, 11.12.2019
  • Aile, Çalışma ve Sosyal Hizmetler Bakanlığı, (2018),Yabancı Çalışma İzni İstatistikleri, www.ailevecalisma.gov.tr, Erişim Tarihi, 11.11.2019
  • Akgündüz. Y.E., Van den Berg,M., ve Hassink, W., (2015), The Impact of Refugee Crises on Host Labor MArkets: The Case of the Syrian Refugee Crisis, Discussion Paper, No. 8841, IZA.
  • Altunç, Ö.F., Ucan, O., Akyıldız, A., (2017), Dış Göçlerin Türkiye Ekonomisi’nde İşsizlik, Enflasyon ve Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerindeki Etkileri, Researcher; Social Science Studies, Cilt 5, Sayı. 8.
  • Apaydın, Ş. ve Koç, Ü., (2019), Suriyeli Göçmenlerin İşgücü Piyasasına Etkileri: Türkiye Örneği, Fisconomia International Congress of Social Sciences, December, Ankara.
  • Bahçekapılı, C., ve Çetin, B., (2015), The Impacts of Forced Migration on Regional Economies: The Case of Syrian Refugees in Turkey, Intenational Business Research, 8.
  • Bertrand, M., Duflo, E. ve Mullainathan, S., (2004), How Much Should We Trust Differences in Differences Estimates?, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol.119:1.
  • Borjas, J.G. ve Monras, J., (2016), The Labor Market Consequences of Refugee Supply Shocks, Discussion Paper, No. 10212, IZA
  • Carrington, W. J., and P. J. F. De Lima, (1996), The impact of 1970s repatriates Africa on the Portuguese labor market.” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 49:2.
  • Card, D., (1990), The Impact of the Mariel Boatlift on the Miami Labor Market, Industrial and Labor Relations Review, Vol. 43, No. 2.
  • Ceritoğlu, E., Gürcihan-Yüncüler, H.B., Torun, H., ve Tümen S., (2015), The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Natives’ Labor Market Outcomes in Turkey: Evidence from A Quasi-Experimental Design, Discussion Paper, No. 9348, IZA
  • Clemens, A.M., ve Hunt, J., (2017), The Labor Market Effects of Refugee Waves: Reconciling Conflicting Results, IZA, Discussion Paper, No: 10806.
  • Del Carpio X.V. ve Wagner M., (2015), The Impact of Syrian Refugees on the Turkish Labor Market, Policy Research Working Paper, World Bank.
  • Esen, O., ve Oguş-Binatlı, A., (2017), The Impact of Syrian Refugees on the Turkish Economy: Regional Labour Market Effects, Social Sciences, 6
  • FEMİSE, (2019), The Long Term Impact of Syrian Refugees on Turkish Economy: An Input-Output Similation, EU-FEMİSE Project, FEM 43-05.
  • Fredriksson, A. ve De Olivera, G.M., (2019), Impact Evaluation Using of Difference in Differences, RAUSP Management Journal, Vol. 54 No. 4, 2
  • Friedberg, R. M. (2001), The impact of mass migration on the Israeli labor market, Quarterly Journal of Economics 116:4.
  • GİGM, (2019), Suriyeli Sığınmacılar Veri Tabanı, Erişim Tarihi: 09.01.2020
  • GİGM, (2020), www.goc.gov.tr/gecici-koruma5638, Erişim Tarihi 01.02.2020 Hounkannounon, B. (2011), Bootstrapping Differences-in-Differences Estimates, CIREQ, Universite de Montreal, https://www.rbnz.govt.nz, Erişim Tarihi, 24.03.2020.
  • IOM, (2018), Multi-Sector Needs Assesment of Syrians in Turkey’s South-Eastern Provinces, IOM Turkey Refugee Responses.
  • Koyuncu, A. (2016), Nimet mi? Külfet mi? Türkiye’nin Suriyeli Sığınmacıları ve Göç Ekonomisi Üzerine Bir Derkenar, İçinde, Türkiye’de Geçici Koruma Altındaki Suriyeliler: Tespitler ve Öneriler, Ed. Esen, A. ve Duman M.
  • Lordoğlu,K., Kıroğlu, M.M. ve Tanyılmaz K., (2004), Türkiye’de Enformel İstihdam ve Yabancı Kaçak İşgücü, UGİNAR Proje Raporu, İstanbul.
  • SABR ve MDN, (2015), Suriyeli-Türk Uyumu: Gaziantep’teki Suriyelilerin ve Türklerin Uyumu Araştırması.
  • SGK, (2010), SGK İstatistik Yıllıkları, www.sgk.gov.tr, Erişim Tarihi, 11.11.2019
  • SGK, (2018), SGK İstatistik Yıllıkları, www.sgk.gov.tr, Erişim Tarihi, 11.11.2019
  • Tunaer-Vural, B.M., (2020), Impact of Syrian Forced Migration on Turkish Economy, Sosyoekonomi, Vol 28 (43).
  • TÜİK, (2019), https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/bolgeselistatistik, Erişim Tarihi, 02.02.2020.
  • Tümen, S. ,(2015), The Use of Natural Experiments in Migration Research, IZA World of Labor.
  • Tümen, S., (2016), The Economic Impact of Syrian Refugees on Host Countries: Quasi Experimental Evidence from Turkey, American Economic Review, Vol. 106, No.5.
  • Türk Kızılay ve WFP, (2019), Refugees in Turkey: Livelihoods Survey Findings, Ankara, Turkey
  • Üstün, N., (2015), Suriyelilerin Türk İşgücü Piyasasına Entegrasyonu: Sorunlar ve Öneriler, Konya Ticaret Odası Araştırma Raporu.
  • Wooldridge, J. M., (2012), Introductory econometrics: a modern approach (5th ed.), Mason, OH: SouthWestern College Publisher.

The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Unemployment Rates: Differences in Difference Analysis for TRC1 Region

Year 2020, Volume: 4 Issue: 2, 452 - 482, 31.05.2020
https://doi.org/10.25295/fsecon.2020.02.010

Abstract

This study investigates the effects of Syrian refugees in TRC1 region, covering Gaziantep, Kilis and Adıyaman provinces, on unemployment rates in the region with the Difference Differences Method. The difference of the study from the relevant literature is that the refugees take into account the effect of spreading to all provinces and try to reduce the biased in the coefficients with the Synthetic Control Group .In empirical analysis, the effects of the refugees on unemployment rates in formal sectors were calcıulated in that labor are classified in age, gender and education level. Especially since 2015, the increase in the number of the refugees and the low unemployment rates of the refugees in the TRC1 region cause a debate about substituting the native labor. Although the employment of the refugees in the informal sectors, at first glance, prevents the substitution of the native labor in the formal sectors, it was observed that the unskilled native labor faced substitution and withdrew from the labor market. On the other hand, skilled labor was found to be positively affected by the refugees entering the labor market.

References

  • Abadie, A., Diamond, A. ve Heinmueller, J., (2010), Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California’s Tobacco Control Program, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490).
  • AFAD, (2016), Suriyeli Misafirlerimiz Kardeş Topraklarında: 2016, www.afad.gov.tr , Erişim Tarihi, 10.10.2019.
  • AFAD, (2019a), “Suriye Krizinde Öne Çıkan Başlıklar: 2011-2014”, https://www.afad.gov.tr/inforgrafikler, Erişim Tarihi, 11.12.2019
  • AFAD, (2019b), “Suriye Krizinde Öne Çıkan Başlıklar: 2011-2014”, https://www.afad.gov.tr/inforgrafikler, Erişim Tarihi, 11.12.2019
  • Aile, Çalışma ve Sosyal Hizmetler Bakanlığı, (2018),Yabancı Çalışma İzni İstatistikleri, www.ailevecalisma.gov.tr, Erişim Tarihi, 11.11.2019
  • Akgündüz. Y.E., Van den Berg,M., ve Hassink, W., (2015), The Impact of Refugee Crises on Host Labor MArkets: The Case of the Syrian Refugee Crisis, Discussion Paper, No. 8841, IZA.
  • Altunç, Ö.F., Ucan, O., Akyıldız, A., (2017), Dış Göçlerin Türkiye Ekonomisi’nde İşsizlik, Enflasyon ve Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerindeki Etkileri, Researcher; Social Science Studies, Cilt 5, Sayı. 8.
  • Apaydın, Ş. ve Koç, Ü., (2019), Suriyeli Göçmenlerin İşgücü Piyasasına Etkileri: Türkiye Örneği, Fisconomia International Congress of Social Sciences, December, Ankara.
  • Bahçekapılı, C., ve Çetin, B., (2015), The Impacts of Forced Migration on Regional Economies: The Case of Syrian Refugees in Turkey, Intenational Business Research, 8.
  • Bertrand, M., Duflo, E. ve Mullainathan, S., (2004), How Much Should We Trust Differences in Differences Estimates?, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol.119:1.
  • Borjas, J.G. ve Monras, J., (2016), The Labor Market Consequences of Refugee Supply Shocks, Discussion Paper, No. 10212, IZA
  • Carrington, W. J., and P. J. F. De Lima, (1996), The impact of 1970s repatriates Africa on the Portuguese labor market.” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 49:2.
  • Card, D., (1990), The Impact of the Mariel Boatlift on the Miami Labor Market, Industrial and Labor Relations Review, Vol. 43, No. 2.
  • Ceritoğlu, E., Gürcihan-Yüncüler, H.B., Torun, H., ve Tümen S., (2015), The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Natives’ Labor Market Outcomes in Turkey: Evidence from A Quasi-Experimental Design, Discussion Paper, No. 9348, IZA
  • Clemens, A.M., ve Hunt, J., (2017), The Labor Market Effects of Refugee Waves: Reconciling Conflicting Results, IZA, Discussion Paper, No: 10806.
  • Del Carpio X.V. ve Wagner M., (2015), The Impact of Syrian Refugees on the Turkish Labor Market, Policy Research Working Paper, World Bank.
  • Esen, O., ve Oguş-Binatlı, A., (2017), The Impact of Syrian Refugees on the Turkish Economy: Regional Labour Market Effects, Social Sciences, 6
  • FEMİSE, (2019), The Long Term Impact of Syrian Refugees on Turkish Economy: An Input-Output Similation, EU-FEMİSE Project, FEM 43-05.
  • Fredriksson, A. ve De Olivera, G.M., (2019), Impact Evaluation Using of Difference in Differences, RAUSP Management Journal, Vol. 54 No. 4, 2
  • Friedberg, R. M. (2001), The impact of mass migration on the Israeli labor market, Quarterly Journal of Economics 116:4.
  • GİGM, (2019), Suriyeli Sığınmacılar Veri Tabanı, Erişim Tarihi: 09.01.2020
  • GİGM, (2020), www.goc.gov.tr/gecici-koruma5638, Erişim Tarihi 01.02.2020 Hounkannounon, B. (2011), Bootstrapping Differences-in-Differences Estimates, CIREQ, Universite de Montreal, https://www.rbnz.govt.nz, Erişim Tarihi, 24.03.2020.
  • IOM, (2018), Multi-Sector Needs Assesment of Syrians in Turkey’s South-Eastern Provinces, IOM Turkey Refugee Responses.
  • Koyuncu, A. (2016), Nimet mi? Külfet mi? Türkiye’nin Suriyeli Sığınmacıları ve Göç Ekonomisi Üzerine Bir Derkenar, İçinde, Türkiye’de Geçici Koruma Altındaki Suriyeliler: Tespitler ve Öneriler, Ed. Esen, A. ve Duman M.
  • Lordoğlu,K., Kıroğlu, M.M. ve Tanyılmaz K., (2004), Türkiye’de Enformel İstihdam ve Yabancı Kaçak İşgücü, UGİNAR Proje Raporu, İstanbul.
  • SABR ve MDN, (2015), Suriyeli-Türk Uyumu: Gaziantep’teki Suriyelilerin ve Türklerin Uyumu Araştırması.
  • SGK, (2010), SGK İstatistik Yıllıkları, www.sgk.gov.tr, Erişim Tarihi, 11.11.2019
  • SGK, (2018), SGK İstatistik Yıllıkları, www.sgk.gov.tr, Erişim Tarihi, 11.11.2019
  • Tunaer-Vural, B.M., (2020), Impact of Syrian Forced Migration on Turkish Economy, Sosyoekonomi, Vol 28 (43).
  • TÜİK, (2019), https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/bolgeselistatistik, Erişim Tarihi, 02.02.2020.
  • Tümen, S. ,(2015), The Use of Natural Experiments in Migration Research, IZA World of Labor.
  • Tümen, S., (2016), The Economic Impact of Syrian Refugees on Host Countries: Quasi Experimental Evidence from Turkey, American Economic Review, Vol. 106, No.5.
  • Türk Kızılay ve WFP, (2019), Refugees in Turkey: Livelihoods Survey Findings, Ankara, Turkey
  • Üstün, N., (2015), Suriyelilerin Türk İşgücü Piyasasına Entegrasyonu: Sorunlar ve Öneriler, Konya Ticaret Odası Araştırma Raporu.
  • Wooldridge, J. M., (2012), Introductory econometrics: a modern approach (5th ed.), Mason, OH: SouthWestern College Publisher.
There are 35 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Celal Taşdoğan 0000-0002-8626-8862

Publication Date May 31, 2020
Published in Issue Year 2020 Volume: 4 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Taşdoğan, C. (2020). The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Unemployment Rates: Differences in Difference Analysis for TRC1 Region. Fiscaoeconomia, 4(2), 452-482. https://doi.org/10.25295/fsecon.2020.02.010

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