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Deprem ve konut fiyatları ilişkisi: konutlarda depreme dayanıklılık ekseninde İstanbul ve İzmir analizleri

Year 2023, Issue: 83, 131 - 143, 31.12.2023

Burcu Türkcan Gül Şerife Huyugüzel Kışla Çağla Bucak

https://doi.org/10.17211/tcd.1338125

Abstract

Deprem, zamanı ve şiddeti önceden kesin olarak belirlenemeyen, ani ve yıkıcı sonuçları ile maruz kalan insanların hayatını, gerçekleştiği coğrafyayı ve ekonomiyi doğrudan etkileyen bir doğal afet olarak insanlık tarihinde daima büyük etkilere ve öneme sahip olmuştur. Tarihsel süreçte Türkiye coğrafyası da büyük ve yıkıcı depremlere sahne olmuş, günümüzde ülkemiz bir deprem ülkesi olarak nitelendirilmeye başlamıştır. Bu gerçekten yola çıkarak hazırlanan bu çalışmada amaç, bir deprem ülkesi olan Türkiye’nin iki büyük metropolü olan İstanbul ve İzmir’de konutların depreme dayanıklılığının konut fiyatları üzerindeki etkisini analiz etmektir. Bu amaçla hazırlanan çalışmanın birinci bölümünde deprem ve konut piyasası ilişkisine yer verilmektedir. Bu bölüm kapsamında iki deprem şehri olan İstanbul ve İzmir’de konutların depreme hazır bulunuşlukları ile konut fiyatlarının ilişkisi incelenmektedir. İkinci bölümde konut fiyatlarının belirleyicileri ile yine bir belirleyici olarak deprem ile ilgili literatür analiz edilmektedir. Son olarak üçüncü bölümde, depreme dayanıklılığın konut fiyatlarına etkilerine dair İstanbul ve İzmir için kesit veri analizlerine yer verilmektedir. Bu bölüm kapsamında, İstanbul’da 380, İzmir’de 280 konutun fiyatları üzerinden değerlendirmeler yapılmaktadır. Elde edilen analiz sonuçlarına göre hem İzmir hem de İstanbul için konut fiyatlarını etkileyen değişkenler şehir merkezine yakınlık, otoparkın varlığı ve denize yakınlık olarak bulunurken; konutların depreme dayanıklılığının konut fiyatları üzerinde anlamlı bir etkisine rastlanmamıştır.

Keywords

Deprem Konut Fiyatları Depreme Dayanıklı Konutlar Kesit Veri Analizi

Supporting Institution

İKSAD

Project Number

2022/RC-010

Thanks

Bu çalışma, İKSAD Proje Birimi tarafından desteklenmiş olan 2022/RC-010 numaralı ve “Türkiye’de Depremlerin Konut Fiyatlarına Etkileri: Bölgesel Düzeyde Makro ve Mikro Etkilere Yönelik Ampirik Analizler” başlıklı projenin bir bölümünden üretilmiştir. Projemize desteğinden ötürü İKSAD'a teşekkürlerimizi sunarız.

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Earthquake and house prices relationship: Analyses for Istanbul and Izmir in terms of eathquake resistance

Year 2023, Issue: 83, 131 - 143, 31.12.2023

Burcu Türkcan Gül Şerife Huyugüzel Kışla Çağla Bucak

https://doi.org/10.17211/tcd.1338125

Abstract

Earthquakes have always had great effects and importance in the history of humanity as a natural disaster, the time and severity of which cannot be determined in advance, and which directly affects the lives of people exposed to it with its sudden and devastating consequences. In the historical manner, the geography of Türkiye has also been the scene of major and destructive earthquakes, and today it’s called as an earthquake country. In this context, the aim of this study is to analyze the effect of earthquake resistance of houses on house prices in Istanbul and Izmir, the two largest metropolises of Türkiye. With this aim, the first section of the study explains the relationship between earthquake and housing market. Within the scope of this section, the relationship between earthquake readiness and housing prices in two earthquake cities, Istanbul and Izmir, is examined. In the second part, the determinants of housing prices and the literature on earthquake as a determinant are analyzed. Finally, in the third section, cross-sectional data analyzes for Istanbul and Izmir on the effects of earthquake resistance on housing prices are given. Within the scope of this section, evaluations are made over the prices of 380 houses in Istanbul and 280 houses in Izmir. According to the results of the analyses, the variables that affect the housing prices for both Izmir and Istanbul and are found to be significant are the proximity to the city center, the presence of the parking lot and the proximity to the sea. However, resistance to earthquakes is not found to be a significant determinant of house prices.

Keywords

Earthquake House Prices Earthquake Resistant Houses Cross Section Analysis

Project Number

2022/RC-010

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Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Economic Geography
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Burcu Türkcan 0000-0002-7494-5897

Gül Şerife Huyugüzel Kışla 0000-0002-0901-2038

Çağla Bucak 0000-0003-3169-110X

Project Number 2022/RC-010
Early Pub Date December 31, 2023
Publication Date December 31, 2023
Acceptance Date November 14, 2023
Published in Issue Year 2023 Issue: 83

Cite

APA Türkcan, B., Huyugüzel Kışla, G. Ş., & Bucak, Ç. (2023). Deprem ve konut fiyatları ilişkisi: konutlarda depreme dayanıklılık ekseninde İstanbul ve İzmir analizleri. Türk Coğrafya Dergisi(83), 131-143. https://doi.org/10.17211/tcd.1338125
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Publisher: Turkish Geographical Society